Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.021909 0.023604 0.025367 0.027342 0.029493 0.031766 0.034353
2025-12-14 0.018930 0.021339 0.023976 0.027086 0.030662 0.034653 0.039459
2025-12-21 0.017134 0.019971 0.023196 0.027151 0.031887 0.037401 0.044338
2025-12-28 0.015697 0.018791 0.022418 0.027007 0.032690 0.039537 0.048473
2026-01-04 0.014610 0.017892 0.021841 0.026974 0.033518 0.041645 0.052597
2026-01-11 0.013767 0.017203 0.021433 0.027067 0.034439 0.043846 0.056902
2026-01-18 0.013021 0.016567 0.021024 0.027092 0.035223 0.045860 0.061028
2026-01-25 0.012428 0.016078 0.020755 0.027254 0.036157 0.048081 0.065522
2026-02-01 0.011733 0.015407 0.020197 0.026975 0.036448 0.049409 0.068816
2026-02-08 0.011048 0.014708 0.019553 0.026527 0.036455 0.050312 0.071516
2026-02-15 0.010519 0.014187 0.019116 0.026329 0.036783 0.051655 0.074903
2026-02-22 0.010019 0.013679 0.018668 0.026079 0.037005 0.052834 0.078085
2026-03-01 0.009557 0.013217 0.018281 0.025928 0.037407 0.054364 0.082012
2026-03-08 0.009101 0.012744 0.017858 0.025702 0.037684 0.055727 0.085781
2026-03-15 0.008767 0.012429 0.017642 0.025765 0.038393 0.057774 0.090762
2026-03-22 0.008404 0.012050 0.017311 0.025629 0.038775 0.059317 0.095003
2026-03-29 0.008096 0.011738 0.017061 0.025598 0.039310 0.061116 0.099772
2026-04-05 0.007841 0.011492 0.016896 0.025686 0.040028 0.063241 0.105223
2026-04-12 0.007587 0.011235 0.016700 0.025710 0.040636 0.065205 0.110512
2026-04-19 0.007381 0.011041 0.016591 0.025862 0.041456 0.067561 0.116648
2026-04-26 0.007090 0.010702 0.016239 0.025599 0.041558 0.068682 0.120595
2026-05-03 0.006781 0.010323 0.015805 0.025177 0.041361 0.069263 0.123561
2026-05-10 0.006542 0.010044 0.015521 0.024990 0.041557 0.070539 0.127918